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Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

Mostly untouched

AI barely touches this work so far. The BLS expects 22.8% fewer of these jobs by 2035.

19%AI does24%AI helps57%Still yours
Rank
#369 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
US jobs, 2025 to 2035
-22.8% All jobs: +3.5%
Median US pay
$58,000 a year, 2025
People doing it
1,500 in the US, with about 100 openings a year

The work, 15 activities

The job description, marked up.

Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.

  • deleAI does this
  • +AIAI helps
  • stetStill yours
  1. AI helps with this: Measure physical characteristics of materials, products, or equipment15%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,656 conversations, and it got them there 84% of the time.

  2. Still yours: Operate cutting or grinding equipment15%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  3. Still yours: Assemble products or work aids10%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  4. AI does this: Program computer systems or production equipment7%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 822 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

  5. AI helps with this: Design materials or devices7%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 820 conversations, and it got them there 57% of the time.

  6. Still yours: Repair workpieces or products6%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  7. AI does this: Read documents or materials to inform work processes6%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 214 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

  8. AI does this: Plan work activities6%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 720 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.

  9. Still yours: Join parts using soldering, welding, or brazing techniques6%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  10. Still yours: Clean workpieces, finished products, or other objects5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  11. Still yours: Smooth surfaces of objects or equipment5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  12. Still yours: Mark materials or objects for identification5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  13. Still yours: Apply protective solutions or coatings4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  14. Still yours: Position materials or components for assembly3%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  15. AI helps with this: Select materials or equipment for operations or projects2%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 222 conversations, and it got them there 93% of the time. In this job the work is hands-on, so AI can only assist.

2025 to 2035

Ten years from now.

For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 77 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.

US jobs by 2035-22.8%
shrinkingyellow tick: all jobs +3.5%growing

Even shrinking, it should still see about 100 openings a year as people retire or move on.

The wire

On the wire.

Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the Work front:

More from the Work front →

How to read this file.

deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.

+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.

stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.

Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.14, higher than 49% of jobs.

Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.

Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 51-4062 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035

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