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First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers

Lightly edited

AI performs some of this work. Most of it still needs a person. The BLS expects 3% more of these jobs by 2035, slower than the 3.5% average.

31%AI does12%AI helps57%Still yours
Rank
Joint #229 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
US jobs, 2025 to 2035
+3% All jobs: +3.5%
Median US pay
$62,890 a year, 2025
People doing it
621,500 in the US, with about 54,900 openings a year

The work, 37 activities

The job description, marked up.

Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.

  • deleAI does this
  • +AIAI helps
  • stetStill yours
  1. Still yours: Direct organizational operations, activities, or procedures10%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  2. Still yours: Resolve personnel or operational problems8%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  3. AI does this: Plan work activities7%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 720 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.

  4. Still yours: Maintain operational records7%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  5. AI does this: Explain regulations, policies, or procedures6%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 84 Copilot conversations and completed it 93% of the time.

  6. AI does this: Advise others on business or operational matters6%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 290 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.

  7. Still yours: Schedule operational activities6%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  8. Still yours: Inspect facilities or equipment4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  9. Still yours: Monitor safety or security of work areas, facilities, or properties4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  10. AI helps with this: Plan events or programs3%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,901 conversations, and it got them there 92% of the time.

  11. AI does this: Train others on operational or work procedures3%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 348 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.

  12. AI helps with this: Purchase goods or services3%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 214 conversations, and it got them there 91% of the time.

  13. AI does this: Read documents or materials to inform work processes3%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 214 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

  14. AI does this: Evaluate the quality or accuracy of data3%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 683 Copilot conversations and completed it 82% of the time.

  15. AI helps with this: Determine resource needs of projects or operations3%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,590 conversations, and it got them there 92% of the time.

  16. Still yours: Monitor operations to ensure adequate performance2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  17. Still yours: Operate transportation equipment or vehicles2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  18. Still yours: Notify others of emergencies or problems2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  19. AI helps with this: Provide support or encouragement to others2%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 293 conversations, and it got them there 87% of the time.

  20. Still yours: Inspect commercial, industrial, or production systems or equipment2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  21. AI does this: Communicate with others about operational plans or activities2%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 354 Copilot conversations and completed it 90% of the time.

  22. Still yours: Prepare reports of operational or procedural activities2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  23. AI helps with this: Measure physical characteristics of materials, products, or equipment2%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,656 conversations, and it got them there 84% of the time.

  24. Still yours: Evaluate personnel capabilities or performance2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  25. Still yours: Test characteristics of materials or products2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  26. Still yours: Inspect vehicles2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  27. Still yours: Develop organizational or program goals or objectives2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  28. Still yours: Direct security or safety activities or operations1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  29. Still yours: Maintain vehicles in working condition1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  30. Still yours: Negotiate contracts or agreements1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  31. AI does this: Provide information to guests, clients, or customers1%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 9 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

  32. Still yours: Operate industrial processing or production equipment1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  33. AI helps with this: Investigate criminal or legal matters1%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,075 conversations, and it got them there 83% of the time.

  34. AI does this: Maintain current knowledge in area of expertise1%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 40 Copilot conversations and completed it 91% of the time.

  35. AI does this: Respond to customer problems or inquiries1%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 6 Copilot conversations and completed it 84% of the time.

  36. Still yours: Supervise personnel activities1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  37. Still yours: Perform human resources activities1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

2025 to 2035

Ten years from now.

For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 103 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.

US jobs by 2035+3%
shrinkingyellow tick: all jobs +3.5%growing

About 54,900 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.

Nearby

Where your skills travel.

Jobs that share the most work with this one, where AI does less of it.

The wire

On the wire.

Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the Work front:

More from the Work front →

How to read this file.

deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.

+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.

stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.

Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.18, higher than 62% of jobs.

Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.

Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 53-1047 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035

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