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Commercial and Industrial Designers

Lightly edited

AI performs some of this work. Most of it still needs a person. The BLS expects 2.4% more of these jobs by 2035, slower than the 3.5% average.

35%AI does33%AI helps32%Still yours
Rank
#179 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
US jobs, 2025 to 2035
+2.4% All jobs: +3.5%
Median US pay
$83,910 a year, 2025
People doing it
35,400 in the US, with about 2,800 openings a year

The work, 12 activities

The job description, marked up.

Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.

  • deleAI does this
  • +AIAI helps
  • stetStill yours
  1. AI does this: Communicate with others about specifications or project details18%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 117 Copilot conversations and completed it 78% of the time.

  2. AI helps with this: Create artistic designs or performances17%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 86 conversations, and it got them there 43% of the time.

  3. AI helps with this: Create visual designs or displays16%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 78 conversations, and it got them there 40% of the time.

  4. Still yours: Collect data about consumer needs or opinions10%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  5. AI does this: Explain technical details of products or services8%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 43 Copilot conversations and completed it 91% of the time.

  6. Still yours: Estimate project development or operational costs7%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  7. Still yours: Direct construction or extraction activities6%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  8. AI does this: Monitor external affairs, trends, or events4%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 394 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

  9. AI does this: Maintain current knowledge in area of expertise4%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 40 Copilot conversations and completed it 91% of the time.

  10. Still yours: Assemble products or work aids4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  11. Still yours: Direct scientific or technical activities4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  12. Still yours: Develop business or marketing plans1%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

2025 to 2035

Ten years from now.

For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 102 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.

US jobs by 2035+2.4%
shrinkingyellow tick: all jobs +3.5%growing

About 2,800 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.

The wire

On the wire.

Reports that touch this work, newest first.

More from the Culture front →

How to read this file.

deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.

+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.

stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.

Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.21, higher than 71% of jobs.

Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.

Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 27-1021 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035

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