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Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters

Mostly untouched

AI barely touches this work so far. The BLS expects 2.9% fewer of these jobs by 2035.

12%AI does30%AI helps58%Still yours
Rank
Joint #470 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
US jobs, 2025 to 2035
-2.9% All jobs: +3.5%
Median US pay
$46,680 a year, 2025
People doing it
81,800 in the US, with about 6,900 openings a year

The work, 17 activities

The job description, marked up.

Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.

  • deleAI does this
  • +AIAI helps
  • stetStill yours
  1. Still yours: Assemble products or work aids20%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  2. AI helps with this: Measure physical characteristics of materials, products, or equipment14%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,656 conversations, and it got them there 84% of the time.

  3. Still yours: Cut materials10%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  4. Still yours: Operate cutting or grinding equipment7%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  5. AI does this: Read documents or materials to inform work processes6%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 214 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

  6. Still yours: Apply protective solutions or coatings6%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  7. Still yours: Shape materials to create products5%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  8. AI helps with this: Create decorative objects or parts of objects5%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 559 conversations, and it got them there 51% of the time.

  9. AI helps with this: Inspect characteristics or conditions of materials or products5%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,462 conversations, and it got them there 90% of the time.

  10. Still yours: Drill holes in earth or materials4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  11. Still yours: Repair workpieces or products4%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  12. AI does this: Determine values or prices of goods or services3%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 510 Copilot conversations and completed it 92% of the time.

  13. AI helps with this: Determine resource needs of projects or operations3%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,590 conversations, and it got them there 92% of the time.

  14. AI helps with this: Confer with clients to determine needs or order specifications3%

    People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 502 conversations, and it got them there 54% of the time.

  15. Still yours: Design structures or facilities2%

    Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.

  16. AI does this: Operate computer systems or computerized equipment2%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 92 Copilot conversations and completed it 71% of the time.

  17. AI does this: Program computer systems or production equipment1%

    AI performed this in about 1 in 822 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.

2025 to 2035

Ten years from now.

For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 97 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.

US jobs by 2035-2.9%
shrinkingyellow tick: all jobs +3.5%growing

Even shrinking, it should still see about 6,900 openings a year as people retire or move on.

The wire

On the wire.

Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the Work front:

More from the Work front →

How to read this file.

deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.

+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.

stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.

Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.12, higher than 40% of jobs.

Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.

Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 51-7011 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035

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