← All 785 jobsFile 53-3051
Bus Drivers, School
Mostly untouched
AI barely touches this work so far. The BLS expects 0.7% more of these jobs by 2035, slower than the 3.5% average.
- Rank
- #409 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
- US jobs, 2025 to 2035
- +0.7% All jobs: +3.5%
- Median US pay
- $47,920 a year, 2025
- People doing it
- 396,800 in the US, with about 56,500 openings a year
The work, 12 activities
The job description, marked up.
Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.
- deleAI does this
- +AIAI helps
- stetStill yours
Still yours: Operate transportation equipment or vehicles21%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Notify others of emergencies or problems16%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Maintain operational records11%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Provide general assistance to others, such as customers, patrons, or motorists11%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 98 conversations, and it got them there 84% of the time. In this job the work is hands-on, so AI can only assist.
AI does this: Read documents or materials to inform work processes5%
AI performed this in about 1 in 214 Copilot conversations and completed it 87% of the time.
AI helps with this: Monitor individual behavior or performance5%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,704 conversations, and it got them there 93% of the time.
Still yours: Inspect vehicles5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Maintain current knowledge in area of expertise5%
AI performed this in about 1 in 40 Copilot conversations and completed it 91% of the time.
Still yours: Clean tools, equipment, facilities, or work areas5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Maintain safety or security5%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,066 conversations, and it got them there 93% of the time.
Still yours: Maintain vehicles in working condition5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Communicate with others about operational plans or activities5%
AI performed this in about 1 in 354 Copilot conversations and completed it 90% of the time.
2025 to 2035
Ten years from now.
For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 101 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.
About 56,500 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.
Nearby
Where your skills travel.
Jobs that share the most work with this one, where AI does less of it.
- Shares 38% of the workShip Engineers3% AI does, against 16% here+2.7% by 2035 · $109,530 · Postsecondary certificate
- Shares 37% of the workMotorboat Operators0% AI does, against 16% here+4.9% by 2035 · $47,520 · Postsecondary certificate
- Shares 35% of the workDriver/Sales Workers9% AI does, against 16% here+7.9% by 2035 · $38,770 · High school diploma
How to read this file.
deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.
+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.
stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.
Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.14, higher than 49% of jobs.
Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.
Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 53-3051 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035
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