← All 785 jobsFile 51-3011
Bakers
Mostly untouched
AI barely touches this work so far. The BLS expects 5.5% more of these jobs by 2035, faster than the 3.5% average.
- Rank
- #645 of 785 jobs, by how much of the work AI does
- US jobs, 2025 to 2035
- +5.5% All jobs: +3.5%
- Median US pay
- $37,160 a year, 2025
- People doing it
- 262,400 in the US, with about 36,500 openings a year
The work, 17 activities
The job description, marked up.
Every activity in this job, the biggest first. Tap a line for the evidence.
- deleAI does this
- +AIAI helps
- stetStill yours
AI helps with this: Adjust equipment to ensure adequate performance13%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 510 conversations, and it got them there 94% of the time.
Still yours: Operate industrial processing or production equipment12%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Evaluate production inputs or outputs12%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Apply protective solutions or coatings8%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Inspect completed work or finished products6%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Measure physical characteristics of materials, products, or equipment5%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,656 conversations, and it got them there 84% of the time.
Still yours: Monitor equipment operation5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Clean tools, equipment, facilities, or work areas5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Maintain tools or equipment5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Load products, materials, or equipment for transportation or further processing5%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI does this: Determine operational methods or procedures4%
AI performed this in about 1 in 461 Copilot conversations and completed it 93% of the time.
Still yours: Shape materials to create products4%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Purchase goods or services3%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 214 conversations, and it got them there 91% of the time.
Still yours: Maintain operational records3%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Direct organizational operations, activities, or procedures3%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
Still yours: Operate cutting or grinding equipment3%
Barely appears in AI conversations: fewer than 1 in 2,000.
AI helps with this: Develop recipes or menus2%
People asked AI for help with this in about 1 in 1,712 conversations, and it got them there 88% of the time.
2025 to 2035
Ten years from now.
For every 100 of these jobs in 2025, the BLS projects 106 in 2035. Across all US jobs, about 104.
About 36,500 openings a year, from growth and from people who retire or move on.
Nearby
Where your skills travel.
The jobs closest to this one. None of them is much less exposed.
- Shares 57% of the workFood Batchmakers9% AI does, against 4% here+6.5% by 2035 · $42,290 · High school diploma
- Shares 55% of the workFood Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders6% AI does, against 4% here-0.3% by 2035 · $41,590 · High school diploma
- Shares 54% of the workCoating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders0% AI does, against 4% here+2.5% by 2035 · $48,250 · High school diploma
The wire
On the wire.
Nothing filed about this job yet. The latest from the Work front:
How to read this file.
deleAI does this. In US Bing Copilot conversations from January to September 2024, AI itself performed the activity, completed it and made a real difference often enough to count.
+AIAI helps. People brought the activity to AI as their own goal, and it usually got them there.
stetStill yours. It barely shows up in AI use, AI rarely finishes it, or in this job it needs hands.
Shares are weighted by how much each activity matters in the job, using O*NET. Microsoft’s own AI applicability score for this job is 0.09, higher than 30% of jobs.
Doing an activity is not doing a job. The researchers behind this data warn against reading it as job loss, and so do we. It is US data; the shape of the work travels.
Sources: Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025) · O*NET OnLine, 51-3011 · BLS Employment Projections 2025 to 2035
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